Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.013552 0.016654 0.020619 0.026190 0.034053 0.045146 0.062775
2025-02-09 0.009793 0.013172 0.018109 0.026288 0.040519 0.066753 0.127058
2025-02-16 0.007928 0.011274 0.016599 0.026470 0.046566 0.093015 0.248520
2025-02-23 0.006704 0.009918 0.015363 0.026366 0.051852 0.124278 0.492371
2025-03-02 0.005683 0.008634 0.013850 0.025054 0.053630 0.149776 0.892556
2025-03-09 0.005002 0.007780 0.012883 0.024481 0.056969 0.187635 1.954561
2025-03-16 0.004580 0.007299 0.012496 0.025053 0.064149 0.260444 7.465661
2025-03-23 0.004192 0.006812 0.011986 0.025140 0.070077 0.350133 61.227687
2025-03-30 0.003771 0.006203 0.011104 0.023976 0.070736 0.411601 3047.104794
2025-04-06 0.003458 0.005760 0.010498 0.023381 0.073448 0.513314 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003275 0.005548 0.010362 0.024089 0.082835 0.779124 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003166 0.005466 0.010503 0.025702 0.099096 1.458668 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003042 0.005370 0.010669 0.027779 0.124252 3.920529 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002834 0.005072 0.010293 0.027917 0.138585 9.178618 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002655 0.004814 0.009967 0.028116 0.155204 30.922573 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002487 0.004557 0.009597 0.028003 0.170153 191.686077 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002294 0.004224 0.008965 0.026579 0.169236 962.139391 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002148 0.003984 0.008553 0.025958 0.177409 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002056 0.003857 0.008431 0.026578 0.204930 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.001957 0.003703 0.008211 0.026673 0.227417 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001831 0.003475 0.007743 0.025411 0.224490 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001733 0.003304 0.007419 0.024767 0.232371 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001677 0.003231 0.007375 0.025533 0.274195 NaN NaN